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Crypto Circle Academician: 6.15 Bitcoin Fibonacci Resistance Layered Calculation! Every rebound at each key level is an excellent window for southbound movement! Latest market analysis and trading suggestions
Bitcoin current price is 63,800. Over the weekend, I met several crypto friends who were bottom-fishing near nine thousand, which shocked me for the whole weekend. Relying on intuition for buying and selling, some held tight during drops, others hurried to chase during rises. Still able to withstand this wave of Bitcoin’s pullback—honestly, staying alive is impressive. These big players’ liquidation points are between 57,000 and 55,000. The current market is a typical bearish grinding phase; don’t expect a sudden surge or plunge overnight. The big cycle south trend hasn’t been dismantled, and the small cycle is in a volatile correction that tests patience. Those who can endure should wait it out. I still recommend everyone develop the habit of using stop-losses.
The daily K-line is generally in a weak recovery phase after a big decline. The moving average system is arranged in a southward pattern, with the 15, 30, and 60-period EMAs all pressing above the price. The first strong resistance is at 73,445 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement); the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 66,884 also acts as resistance, with the lower band at 56,399 being a long-term key support. The MACD indicator’s DIF is at 33,53 and DEA at 35,17, with a slight increase in the red histogram. The downward momentum has temporarily slowed but not reversed; the previous low at 59,080 is the bottom of this decline. Before the price can break above the 30 EMA, the daily trend remains bearish. The rebound can only be seen as a weak correction, not a condition for a direct bullish reversal.
The four-hour K-line shows a low-level sideways consolidation after the decline. In the short term, the 15 and 30 EMAs are intertwined and flat, with the price running just below the moving averages. The 23.6% Fibonacci resistance at 64,684 is the first hurdle for a short-term rebound; Bollinger Bands have narrowed, with the upper band at 64,750 and the lower at 62,871, indicating a clear range-bound pattern. The MACD lines are slowly flattening, with extremely thin red volume bars, indicating insufficient strength for a northward push. The solid support at 59,080 on the four-hour chart is stable, with no major risk of a sharp drop in the short term. However, upward breakthroughs are weak, and the bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war. This is a typical weak correction after a decline; the major south trend has not fundamentally changed.
Short-term trading ideas: Follow the big cycle trend, use small stop-losses, and trade quickly in and out.
Buy on dips below 63,000 to 62,500, with a stop-loss at 62,000, target 63,500 to 64,500.
Sell on rallies above 64,500 to 65,000, with a stop-loss at 65,500, target 63,500 to 62,500.
Specific operations should be based on real-time market data. For more information, contact me. The article may have some delay; use it for reference only. Risk is on your own. $BTC #预测世界杯德国VS库拉索