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Extremely unbalanced, wait for spot confirmation before acting
We took out the largest HTF liquidity cluster on 3m aggregation
Positioning is getting extreme:
> Long liqLevels: 103 I Short liqLevels: 856
Δ: -753 (~$30B imbalance)
Historically, we rarely see imbalances of this magnitude without eventually getting a meaningful counter-move.
-> (usually >20b is a preindication)
The issue:
> Perps keep trying to catch the bottom while spot continues selling aggressively.
> From a liquidity and positioning perspective, the door is wide open for a violent squeeze higher.
But squeezes need flows.
Until I see:
> structural confirmation
> aggressive, onholding spot buying
I’m not interested in forcing another hedge long.
Without those ingredients, this can easily continue lower -> 58k already gathering more liq, could be the next point to be hit if flows dont step in
Capital preservation > prediction