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Even if it drops to 40k-50,000, there's only about 20%+ more room to fall,
who can guarantee they'll buy at the lowest point?
Whether 60,000 will effectively break below is still a question;
the whole internet is talking about going down to 40,000, such uniformity, there must be something strange.
Just like last October, when the whole network called for Bitcoin at 130,000 or 140,000,
the result was it didn't break 130,000, then it was halved all the way down.
Start buying now, dollar-cost averaging,
you're basically copying the institutions' bottom, and you will definitely thank yourself in the future.
First, smashing the market isn't happening out of nowhere;
it requires real sell orders.
From $82,000 down to $63k, the main sources of selling pressure are:
leverage longs liquidation, market sentiment panic after Saylor sold 32 BTC,
and institutions actively reducing positions at high levels.
These chips are real.
But to drop from $60,000 to $40,000, additional selling pressure is needed.
Who provides these chips?
In reality, only a few sources can supply this selling pressure:
Miner sell-offs, but after halving, miner income is halved,
they were already operating at low levels, large-scale sell-offs would kill themselves first.
Institutional ETF redemptions require a large number of retail investors to redeem ETF shares simultaneously,
but most ETF holders are long-term investors who won't all redeem just because of a 30% drop.
Spot holders cut losses,
the drop from 80k to 63,000 has already cleaned out most spot buyers,
the remaining are believers and institutions.
Institutions include MSTR, BlackRock, Harvard Foundation, etc.,
their cost basis is around 50,000-75,000, with no motivation to cut losses.
So, the technical line of "bottom at 40,000" has a fundamental flaw:
it assumes chips can be supplied infinitely, but BTC's total supply is 21 million,
a large portion locked in cold wallets, ETFs, institutional accounts like MSTR,
the actual circulating chips are extremely limited.
In 2022, it dropped to $15,500 because the Luna collapse directly evaporated hundreds of billions of dollars in on-chain collateral,
and FTX's crash forced liquidation of many positions,
this was real systemic chip release, chain reactions of liquidations.
And today, there's no such systemic collapse of that magnitude,
and volatility is a gift,
the Bitcoin in 2026,
offers a generational $BTC opportunity.