Whenever there’s a recent hot topic, I remind myself of one word: wait. Especially before and after upgrades/maintenance for major public chains, everyone in the group starts guessing whether the ecosystem will migrate—honestly, the information noise is usually louder than the signal. Don’t rush to chase the first wave of emotion.

My current approach is pretty clumsy: wait for confirmation (on-chain/official announcements—rather than screenshot shares), wait for a pullback (the spike in attention is when it’s easiest to become the bagholder), and finally wait until I’ve figured it out clearly myself (am I betting on the narrative, or betting on volatility?). The options-style way of watching volatility—like an ECG—actually also applies to spot trading: when your “heartbeat” is racing, it’s usually not an opportunity; you’re being led around by attention. Anyway, I’d rather take a little less profit than be repeatedly chopped up by hot topics every day.