Spurs vs Knicks NBA Finals.


Here’s what I’m looking at before making final prediction
i.) Spurs have won a total of 5 NBAs while Knicks have won just 2 (last time was 1973)
ii.) Polymarket holds an accuracy of 80% to events yet to close in the next 12hours. If Spurs have the highest probability then more chances of that happening.
iii.) Sports market tend to gain more volume at the start of the market relative to other markets hence, the market has already priced this perfectly and there’ll be little volume inflow after the match tomorrow.
iv.) From individual player stats, the team of spurs greatly depends on Wembanyama while the case is different for the knicks team.
The opportunity I’m looking at:
XO Market has a lower probability when compared to Polymarket which is quite an inefficiency so best to buy Knicks till the market on XO prices it perfectly.
Well well, from my experience it’s best to take bets with a high fair probability.
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