Lately, I keep hearing on the blockchain, "This transfer is too coincidental."

I now try not to believe in coincidences... First, break down the path: where the funds came in from, how many hops they took, whether they are near known aggregation/cross-chain/making-market addresses, and whether the timing is before or after a certain event.
Many "coincidences" are basically the same people/tools moving assets around, or some intermediary service automatically diverting flows.
I used to be a bit paranoid, thinking that only analyzing on-chain data was enough, but I later realized that ignoring sentiment can lead to misjudgments—
for example, when a hot topic arises, everyone starts protecting themselves, hardware wallets run out of stock, phishing links spike—during such times, on-chain data shows a bunch of "urgent migration" traces, which look like troublemaking, but are actually just fear.
Anyway, I now prefer to spend ten more minutes explaining things clearly; if I make a mistake, I’ll correct it—no stubbornness.