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$XAUUSD How institutions view (huge disagreements)
Goldman Sachs: Firmly maintains the year-end target of 5400, with the core being central bank gold purchases + the long-term logic of de-dollarization unchanged
Morgan Stanley: Downgraded the second-half target to 5200, believing gold has returned to the traditional framework dominated by real interest rates
Hua An Fund: The medium- to long-term logic (fiscal deficit + central bank gold purchases + credit hedging) remains unchanged, but admits that short-term data faces headwinds
Plain language translation: Long-term bulls believe "central bank buying supports the floor," short-term bears believe "no rate cuts = no gold rally." Right now, these two forces are wrestling near 4480.