My phone just popped up a red dot again: a certain address "coincidentally" transferred the same amount to three new wallets. My first reaction was thinking it was another airdrop preheating... but then I realized these kinds of transfers aren't that mysterious. Most likely it's the same group of people: main wallet → relay → distribution, with a couple of transactions to recover fees/test transactions mixed in. When you break down the path, it makes sense. To put it simply, on-chain, coincidences aren't scary; what’s scary is only watching individual transactions without considering upstream and downstream.

By the way, I want to complain about the current L2s arguing over TPS/fees/subsidies—it's quite lively. But these "seems similar" on-chain behaviors happen everywhere. Anyway, when I see coincidental transfers now, I first draw a quick arrow diagram to calm down... then decide whether to keep watching the drama.