From 61% to 39%, this volatility got wiped out early in the contracts, and the peace agreement is even harder to predict than the market.

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MeNews
The likelihood of the US and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement decreases
ME News Report, April 19 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the prediction "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 30, 2026?", the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 61.0% to 39.0%, a drop of 22.0 percentage points in one day.
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