Last night, I was itching to make a move, the K-line looked so smooth... I just paused for two minutes and asked myself: Am I seeing new information, or am I just afraid of missing out and adding more? Honestly, the "information" I can recall is only a few vague on-chain inflows, mostly driven by emotions pushing me.

And now those on-chain data tools and address labels are also criticized for being lagging, right? Sometimes, if you chase after the "smart money" label, it turns out they've already changed their alias. I’ve been misled once before. That time, I couldn’t understand a large transfer of a stablecoin, and the more I looked, the more anxious I got. In the end, I just went in hard, only to find out it was an internal rebalancing... Not much loss, but it felt pretty frustrating.

My current simple method is: if an increase can't be explained, I don’t move. Wait until I calm down and can come up with three reasons before acting. That’s it for now.