First, organize your core viewpoints and key points into a clearer, directly actionable version (based on today's 2026-05-16 market situation).

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1. Macro Conclusions

- ✅ Federal Reserve reshuffle (Powell→Waller, 5/15): Increased uncertainty, pressure on risk assets
- ✅ Trump returning to the country: Good news exhausted, turning into bad news, no surprise
- ✅ Escalation expectations of US-Iran conflict: Safe-haven↑, risk assets↓
- ✅ US Treasury yields rising: USD strengthening, crypto under pressure
- ✅ Japan raises interest rates: Global liquidity tightening expectations, high-volatility assets impacted
- ✅ Bitcoin breaks 78,800 trend line: Trend turns bearish, downside potential opens

Conclusion: Main stance is bearish, avoid long positions on rebounds, take short positions on rallies; small long positions are risky, trade less or not at all.

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2. BTC (Bitcoin) Strategy

1) Long-term short (core)

- Entry: Short around 79,000
- Stop-loss: 79,400
- Target: Around 71,500 (large range)

2) Short-term short (attack on rebounds)

- Entry: Short at 78,450
- Stop-loss: +300 points (78,750)
- Take-profit: -700 points (77,750)
- Countermeasure if swept: Add short again at 79,000 to recover losses

3) Short-term long (very light, quick in and out)

- Aggressive long: Long at 77,300 - Stop-loss: 76,950
- Take-profit: 78,000
- Safe long: Long at 76,600 - Stop-loss: 76,200
- Take-profit: 77,400
- Support for further decline: 75,300 → 73,200 (strong support)

4) Mid-term bottom-fishing zone (wait)

- Bitcoin: Around 71,500 (consider mid-term long)
- Rebound expectation: ≥2000 points

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3. ETH (Ethereum) Strategy

Current price: around 2185

1) Short position (main strategy)

- Short at current price: 2185 - Stop-loss: +6% (2218)
- Take-profit: -10% (1966)
- Pending short order: 2199 - Stop-loss: +10% (2221)
- Take-profit: -20% (1759)
- Countermeasure if swept: Add short again at 2224, aiming to recover losses
- Extreme rebound battle: around 2245 (short)

2) Long position (short-term rebound, accept losses)

- Short-term long: 2167 - Stop-loss: -5% (2156)
- Probabilistic long: 2147 - Stop-loss: -10% (2125)
- Target: Reduce positions near 2230
- Countermeasure if swept: Re-try long around 2128 to recover losses

3) Critical boundary (most important)

- 2120 = key support/resistance line - do not break: can attempt mid-term long near 2120
- Break below: invalidates daily uptrend, turns extremely bearish
- Downside targets: 2077 → 2037 → 1968

4) Mid-term bottom-fishing zone

- Ethereum: around 2080–2040
- Rebound expectation: ≥100 points

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4. SOL Strategy

Current price: around 87.5

1) Short position

- Entry: Short at 87.5
- Stop-loss: +0.7 (88.2)
- No fixed take-profit, hold trend short

2) Very light long position

- Entry: Long at 84.8
- Stop-loss: -0.5 (84.3)
- Take-profit: +1 (85.8)

3) Key support

- 84 = SOL bullish trend dividing line - break below: trend ends
- Downside targets: 82.9 → 78.4 (strong support, mid-term long zone)

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5. Unified Trading Discipline

1. Main short positions with small size: rebounds must be shorted, no chasing longs
2. Very light long positions: only trade short-term rebounds, don’t hold through losses, cut losses quickly
3. Key levels for decisive action:
- BTC: 75,000, 71,500
- ETH: 2120, 2080–2040
- SOL: 84, 78.4
4. Do not add on breakdowns; if swept, move to the next key level to re-enter and recover

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Summary in one sentence: The market is currently in a bearish trend; rebounds are opportunities to short, only do very short-term longs, take profits quickly; consider mid-term longs only after significant drops to target zones.