💣 The US-Iran situation may look tense and on the brink of confrontation, but in reality, the “script” has long been written: the 19th-20th could be the golden window for shorting crude oil!

Recently, the Middle East has been thick with gunpowder, but I can tell everyone clearly: stay optimistic—the odds of both sides returning to the negotiating table are extremely high!

To understand the current situation, you only need to watch these three key signals:

🔥 1. United States: Thunder loud, rain small

The U.S. military has once again released signals of readiness to use force. In essence, it’s just “political performance.” This is nothing more than the White House’s usual “big stick” diplomacy, mainly aimed at reassuring domestic hardliners and Israel. If they really dare to get into a war? The U.S. economy and political situation simply do not allow it.

🔥 2. Iran: Has seen through the scheme, fearless and confident

Why does Iran dare to push back hard now? There are two reasons:

* The barefoot aren’t afraid of those wearing shoes: the worst outcome would only be a change of regime, but that could actually further unify Iran internally.
* The “confidence booster” behind the scenes: most likely, a major power in the East has provided strategic support. So Iran is not panicking or in a hurry— it even begins planning a “divide and govern” solution for the Strait of Hormuz, with plenty of confidence.

🔥 3. Russia: The key variable—major appearance on the 19th-20th

Putin is confirmed to visit China on the 19th-20th. Pay attention to this timing! And it’s against the backdrop of Trump potentially visiting China—this is essentially an “invitation” to go.

This closed-door China-Russia meeting this time is absolutely not only about the Russia-Ukraine issue. The “final solution” for stability in the Asia-Pacific—and even the endgame plan for the US-Iran situation—will very likely be put on the table as well. Iran’s current silence and composure likely stem from having already received the “ace card” coordinated between China and Russia in advance.

📉 【Trader’s perspective: How to grasp the crude oil market?】

Before the results of the China-Russia talks on the 19th-20th are released, the market will definitely continue to be dominated by sentiment driven by “geopolitical panic” and “high oil prices.”

But once the talks are settled and the situation becomes clearer, the crude oil premium will quickly unwind. The 19th-20th are very likely to become a turning point for the US-Iran situation and also the inflection point for the geopolitical premium!

💡 Trading suggestion: Short US crude oil (WTI) on rallies!

Remember, when shorting, you must choose WTI—its liquidity is good and it reacts extremely sensitively to geopolitical news. Get your positions ready and wait for the news to land!

(Note: Investing involves risk. Enter the market cautiously and make a stop-loss plan.)#CLARITY法案参议院通关 #