Iran issues a "ticket" for nuclear talks with the U.S., Trump considers resuming military actions against Iran, Middle Eastern conflict may reignite

Mars Finance News: On May 13, renewed expectations of renewed fighting in the Middle East emerged again. Trump is considering resuming military actions against Iran, while Iran has issued the US a “ticket” for nuclear talks, including thawing assets and acknowledging sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. At present, the demands of both sides still cannot be reconciled. A rundown of the latest developments in the US–Iran conflict is as follows:

United States

• US Secretary of Defense: The Iran ceasefire agreement is still valid.

• The US intends to rename measures to circumvent the war authorization deadline issue.

• Trump says preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons is “only a matter of time.”

• The US offers a $15 million reward to strike the Iranian Revolutionary Guard’s funding network.

• US Department of Defense: The cost of the Iran war has risen to about $29 billion, and may rise further.

• Trump says he will have 100% control over Iran’s nuclear material, asserting that Iran will “100%” give up nuclear weapons.

• US media: Trump is considering resuming military actions against Iran; US officials question the efficiency of Pakistan’s message-delivery.

Iran

• Iran has filed a lawsuit with the international arbitration institution over the US’s conduct in the “12th war.”
• According to Iran’s Tasnim News Agency: The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is conducting military exercises in Tehran Province.
• The latest assessments show that Iran still retains combat-use capability in 30 out of its 33 missile positions along the Strait of Hormuz, indicating that Iran’s military strength is far greater than what Trump claims.

Strait of Hormuz and ceasefire negotiations

• Iran has issued the US a “ticket” for nuclear talks, including thawing assets and acknowledging sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
• The UK will dispatch drones, fighter jets, and warships to participate in the Hormuz operation.
• The US military has readjusted the routes of 65 merchant ships, resulting in 4 ships being unable to operate.
• White House National Economic Council Director Hassett: Trump is very confident that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened soon.
• Trump: When negotiating with Iran, I do not consider the financial situation of the American people; I do not consider anyone.

According to monitoring by PolyBeats, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability that the “US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement” is 2% before May 15, 17% before May 31, and 35% before June 30.