On-chain, people are always saying "This transfer is just too much of a coincidence," but I no longer really believe in coincidences... When you break down the path, it's often: the same batch of funds dispersed into several addresses, doing a loop to make it look "unrelated," and finally converging again within the same time window. Basically, it's like market making finding the least friction path, just dressed up in an anonymous cloak.

Recently, cross-chain bridges have had issues again, and everyone's first reaction is "Don't move first, wait for confirmation," and that oracle's abnormal quotes also fostered this consensus... It's both funny and frustrating: after confirming and confirming, vulnerabilities and human nature are never absent. Anyway, when I see "coincidence" now, I first trace the fund flow, then talk about the story.