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It's already 100% confirmed that large funds are washing out their positions.
Today, Bitcoin broke out in a skyward spike.
Without any news influence,
Bitcoin surged sharply to 82k, then retreated back to 80k, shaking out both longs and shorts.
Large funds often shake out both sides before a meeting.
When engaging in contracts, try to use exchange grid contracts, which are especially effective and have a high win rate.
The countdown to the meeting is 3 days, will it happen or not?
The Wang visiting China is confirmed, bringing along CEOs from Nvidia, Apple, and Boeing.
China has not officially announced it yet; both sides are still bargaining.
The original plan: push to 85k before the meeting and run.
Reality: stuck at 80k for a week with no movement.
What to do now in the short term?
Scenario A (50% probability):
Suddenly surge to 82,000-83,000 on May 12-13, then immediately exit.
Scenario B (45% probability):
On the day of the meeting, May 14, release positive news to boost the market; after the meeting, likely to fall, then run away during the rally.
Scenario C (5% probability):
Negotiations fall short of expectations, possibly even leading to a drop; this probability is very small.
Short-term bottom-fishing for Bitcoin and BNB has already yielded profits; set stop-loss at breakeven to protect capital. Learning not to lose is the key to earning.
Then, on May 15, Wo Shé's speech may present another opportunity for a rally; stay focused.