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Interestingly, Arbitrum(ARB) and Bittensor (TAO) have shown the lowest correlation to Bitcoin and most other assets, making them great additions to a diversified portfolio. Meanwhile, presales can show even lower correlation due to their project-specific catalysts.
Most often, altcoins tend to follow the BTC price, but there are periods when they move independently of it. We call such a phase an Altcoin Season, which is confirmed when 75% of the top altcoins by market cap outperform Bitcoin over a three-month period.
As of Q4 2025, the Altcoin Season Index from CoinMarketCap stands at 31, suggesting that close to half of the top 100 non-stablecoin, non-wrapped tokens could underperform BTC over the past three months.