#Polymarket每日热点



Sharing my prediction on Polymarket for the 2026 World Cup champion—this time I directly backed France.

From the current market probabilities, France’s 16% win rate has already surpassed Spain and England, putting them in first place. While Spain’s odds are also far from low, France’s squad depth and consistency in major tournaments are the aspects I’ve always been more confident in. The big-game experience of key players like Mbappé and Griezmann, along with the rise of the younger generation, means their overall strength really is top-tier. Plus, France has never been short of match-changing players—there’s always a way for them to deliver performances that exceed expectations in major tournaments.

This time, I bought the France Yes contract at a price of 16 cents. Even though market hype is quite high right now, I still think France has a strong chance of going all the way. After all, in a tournament like the World Cup, both strength and luck matter, and France has proven that more than once—I’m still willing to believe in them this time, too.
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