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#稳定币储备下降
On May 7th, Bitcoin's current rebound from around 60k to approximately 83k, nearly a 40% increase, is a technical correction within a bear market, not a trend reversal; the current range of 82.5k to 84k is close to the top, and it is highly likely to oscillate downward and break previous lows afterward, only truly reversing after completing the final dip of the bear market. The following is a detailed analysis from four aspects: core logic, technical basis, historical analogy, and trading suggestions:
1. Core judgment: Bear market rebound, not the start of a bull market
1. The long-term perspective remains unchanged: Although this rebound is strong (60k → 83k, nearly 40% increase), it is defined as a healthy technical correction within a bear market, not the beginning of a main upward wave.