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Is the super bullish bull market confirmation signal already appearing😱? Understanding these points will give you more confidence❗
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Big news❗Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee made a key judgment at Consensus 2026: If Bitcoin closes above $76k in May, the bear market will be completely over🚀.
Now Bitcoin$BTC has already touched above $80k, closing at $76,300 in April, the best monthly performance in the past 12 months.
Tom Lee's logic is simple—three consecutive months of positive monthly closes have never occurred in a bear market in history.
He also pointed out that tokenization and AI-driven financial services will become the two most important narratives moving forward. The trading volume of stablecoins has already surpassed that of traditional payment giants, which is worth continuous attention.
Let's look at the technical side. Bitcoin has tested the $80k level multiple times, with the true market average around $78.2k, and short-term holder cost basis at about $79.1k—these key levels have all held firmly.
Whether May can close above $76k will be one of the core focuses of this month's market.
Legislative signals are also positive.
The compromise plan on stablecoin yields in the 《Clarity Act》 has been reached, with the core consensus allowing rewards based on use cases but not passive interest similar to bank deposits.
Several related companies like Circle, BitGo, Coinbase saw their stock prices rise in response, with Circle's increase reaching up to 19%. The bill may be reviewed by the Senate as early as mid-month.
Although the final outcome is still uncertain, market expectations are heating up, with probability estimates from prediction platforms approaching 70%.
Traditional financial institutions are also accelerating their deployment. DTCC plans to start real trading tests of tokenized securities in July, with official services launching in October, involving over 50 institutions including BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan.
The NYSE has also submitted rule change applications to regulators, planning to bring eligible securities into the tokenized trading framework.
Hong Kong Monetary Authority issued the first two stablecoin issuer licenses in April, with HSBC and Gate.io Financial Technology qualifying. Regulated stablecoins are expected to be gradually implemented from mid to late this year.
In Canada, the CADD stablecoin issued by regulated financial institutions was launched in early May, with Shopify and the Bank of Canada involved in support. Countries like the UAE and Malaysia also have related projects underway.
🌟To summarize:
The market is experiencing a critical window. The May close could be an important test of strength, and on the traditional finance side—exchanges, clearinghouses, banks—all are paving the way for crypto assets in a predictable manner.
🔥Follow me so you won't miss any signals.
#香港首批稳定币牌照:仅2家获批 #玩转策略