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The counterparty withdrew a rocket. Let’s briefly analyze the market from here—no more talk. Continue opening shorts in batches.
After BTC broke above the previous high and made a fresh high of 80600, it failed to hold above 80000. At the high level, it closed with an evening star pattern, suggesting a pullback is needed in the short term.
## 1. Core Market Signals
After the evening star appears, shorting is fine—but the downside sell volume has shrunk to an extreme level. This is a low-volume pullback, so it’s unlikely to turn into a sustained big drop.
The price only retested the 79469 support and then stopped falling. It did not effectively break below it, and bearish momentum has clearly run out.
**Key conclusion:** 79469 is the bulls’ lifeline. As long as it hasn’t been broken, the bears don’t have much room. Short positions need to exit in time to avoid getting trapped.
## 2. Key Pivot Levels Between Bulls and Bears
**Bullish structure (does not break 79469)**
For the rebound, first watch the 80597 previous high. After a breakout, if the 80815 resistance is cleared, the move can continue to the upside.
Fibonacci 1:1 target: 81681. Once it holds, watch the 1.618 extension at 82172.
**Bearish reversal (breaks below 79469)**
Re-enter the inside of the flag-style consolidation. The first target is 78536.
The deeper drop target is 77370—this is where short positions finally have room to be relieved.
## 3. Evening Trading Strategy
1. **Longs:** 79958 with a breakout on volume—go long on the right side, with aggressive participation. Stop loss: below 79456.
2. **Shorts:** 79456 with a breakdown on volume + a rejection (no reclaim of the right side). Short on the right side; certainty is higher. Stop loss: above 80000.
3. **Core principle:** Don’t short blindly unless 79469 breaks. Don’t chase pumps. Apply strict risk control.
## 4. Summary
The current bullish trend hasn’t changed. The high-level, shrinking-volume pullback is a shakeout, not a top. 79469 is the line that separates bulls and bears—above it, look for longs; below it, the bias turns bearish. Trade according to the signals, don’t act on emotion, and set stop losses properly. $BTC #油价突破110美元