BTC rises again but faces resistance! Above 78,100 forms a "sentiment top," and the intraday pullback window has opened.

Current Price: 78,159.43

First, the conclusion: BTC has already entered a high-level consolidation and weakening phase in the short term, characterized by “diminishing momentum after a surge + increasing divergence,” and is more likely to fluctuate and decline within the day rather than continue a one-sided upward push.

1. 4-hour timeframe: High-level stagnation, loss of momentum

Multiple attempts to break above 78,000 but without sustained volume The body of the high-level candlesticks shrinks, showing obvious divergence MACD at a high level becomes dull, red bars shorten Bollinger Band upper band flattens, price pulls back near the middle band

Core judgment: The 4-hour is in a high-level consolidation phase after an uptrend, leaning weak

2. 1-hour timeframe: Short-term bearish structure

Shows a “surge → pullback → weak rebound” pattern Multiple rebounds are resisted in the 78,300-78,500 range Moving averages begin to turn downward MACD enters a bearish zone and expands

Short-term rhythm: Weak rebound + stair-step decline

3. Intraday trend projection

If unable to regain stability above 78,500:

More inclined to fluctuate and decline within the day First test support around 77,300 If broken, may extend to the 76,500 area

4. Direct trading strategy (as required)

Direction: Short (market order)

Entry price: Around 78,159.43

Take profit:

First take profit: 77,378 (about -1%) Second take profit: 76,596 (about -2%)

Stop loss:

Stop loss level: 79,332 (about +1.5%)