Probability of the CLARITY Act Becoming Law in 2026 Rises to 60% on Polymarket

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On May 2, data from Polymarket indicated that the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 has risen to 60%, an increase of 14% from the previous day. Earlier reports confirmed that the stablecoin yield rules under the CLARITY Act have been finalized, stipulating that crypto companies cannot pay ‘any form of interest or yield’ solely based on customers holding stablecoins, similar to bank deposits or any comparable interest-bearing products. However, it allows crypto companies to offer rewards linked to ‘real activities.’ Following the announcement of the new stablecoin yield provisions, the CLARITY Act may be one step closer to becoming law.

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