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$BTC #BitcoinETFOptionLimitQuadruples Bitcoin Market Analysis H4
What could happen today?
BTC/USDT on H4, we can draw some key points.
Current structure
The price is clearly in a short-term bullish trend (ascending channel).
Higher highs / higher lows are respected as long as it holds.
The price is above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish bias.
We are testing a major resistance zone around 79k – 82k (blue zone at the top).
Current critical zone
The price is just below resistance → decision zone.
The MACD shows a slight regain of momentum, but nothing explosive for now.
📊 Possible scenarios today
Scenario 1: Breakout (the most interesting)
If BTC: breaks 79k – 80k cleanly
with volume,
Then potential toward 82k – 84k
continuation of the bullish channel
This is the pump scenario.
Scenario 2: Rejection (also very likely)
If BTC: fails below resistance
shows long upper wicks / rejection
Then:
returns to 75k – 74k (middle of the channel)
or 72k (support + EMA)
Classic: liquidity grab before correction.
Scenario 3: Fake breakout (whale trap)
BTC slightly breaks above 80k
then drops quickly
Wall objectives:
liquidate late buyers
return to 74k – 72k
Smart reading (important)
It is in a trap zone
The market is waiting for liquidity above the highs
So:
❌ Avoid buying below resistance
✅ Wait:
either a confirmed break
or a return to support
Quick conclusion
Overall bias: bullish
Short term: uncertainty below resistance
Today:
either a breakout above 80k
or rejection toward 74k