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Not just a lawsuit, but a bet on the future of the AI industry
This is more than a lawsuit; it's a nationwide referendum on the direction of the AI industry. My vote is for "Yes."
If Musk wins, it means the court system leans toward restricting tech giants' unlimited expansion in AI, possibly forcing OpenAI to open-source some models again or split profit-making and non-profit sectors. This industry-shaking change is precisely what the current 72% probability is pricing in.
The logic behind my position isn't about throwing a tantrum; it's betting on the arrival of regulatory storms. No matter the details of the ruling, as long as the judge characterizes "OpenAI as betraying its original intention," Musk wins. The strategy is simple: use time to buy space, hold onto the "Yes" chips until the last moment before the court session ends.
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