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Mainstream perspective, betting on the “yes” logic chain
Today’s lawsuit between Elon Musk and OpenAI, I bet “yes.” The current 72% probability isn’t just pulled out of thin air.
My reasoning is very straightforward: OpenAI has shifted from its original intent of being “non-profit, open-source” to becoming closed-source and pursuing commercial profit—this very transformation itself creates huge legal risk. Musk, as an early co-founder and backer, has the strongest evidence in the form of email exchanges and meeting records. The judge is only human too—faced with a narrative of “a dragon-slaying youth eventually becoming a villain,” the outcome is pretty much obvious.
Strategically, since the market has already given a seven-tenths probability, just go along with it. No need to expect a shocking upset; reliably pocketing returns as expectations are met is the way to go. Confident in HODL💪
#Polymarket每日熱點