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📊Interest rate expectations remain stable: the market largely confirms no rate cuts in the short term
According to the latest data from the CME FedWatch Tool, market expectations for the future Federal Reserve interest rate path are very clear:
June meeting:
Probability of holding rates steady: 95%
Probability of a 25 basis point cut: 5%
July meeting:
Probability of holding rates steady: 87.9%
Probability of a 25 basis point cut: 11.7%
Probability of a 50 basis point cut: 0.4%
From the data, the market has basically defaulted to:
No substantial rate cuts in the near future.
This actually sends a very clear signal:
In the coming period, the macro environment is likely to remain “high interest rates maintained + data observation,” rather than a rapid easing cycle.
In this stage, asset prices depend more on risk appetite than on monetary policy.
One sentence summary:
Interest rates won't immediately change market direction, but they will determine whether the market can move more comfortably. #WCTC交易王PK #美国寻求战略比特币储备 #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4倍 $BSB $MEGA