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The last two days glued to the news and I won't lie — this geopolitical tension worries me more than any crypto crash I've ever seen. The difference is that you can control a crypto crash, this stuff you can't.
So, what's really happening? On April 8th, a two-week ceasefire was agreed upon between the US and Iran, mediated by Pakistan. On paper, it sounds promising. Iran talks about victory, calls for sanctions to be lifted, US withdrawal from the region. Peace, right?
Wrong. Because while the ceasefire is in place, satellites have captured Iran quietly clearing debris from its underground missile bases. They are digging tunnels, loading rubble, preparing the next strike. They’re not celebrating. They’re reloading.
While all this is happening, 20,000 vessels are blocked. The Strait of Hormuz — which moves 20% of the world's oil — remains closed. Supply chains are breaking globally. This is the kind of situation that can cause a crypto crash in a matter of hours.
BTC is currently around $77K, recovering from lows as optimism for peace grows. But what if the ceasefire falls apart? We could easily return to $60K overnight. We've seen similar crypto crash scenarios before.
Trump himself told a crowd this week to "watch what happens in the coming weeks." That next week? It’s now. Today. This week.
The best-case scenario: Pakistan brokers a real deal, Hormuz reopens, oil drops, Bitcoin rises above $80K. The worst-case scenario: ceasefire collapses, Iran launches, oil hits $150, every market bleeds. Nothing in between.
The point is this — the world is holding its breath. Your wallet should be too. Because unlike a predictable crypto crash based on fundamentals, this is geopolitics. And geopolitics doesn’t follow technical charts.