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The market on Polymarket for betting "Kelp DAO will share the loss from rsETH bridge theft" has only a 25% probability.
ChainCatcher message, Polymarket’s latest data shows that the current probability of the market betting “Will Kelp DAO share the loss this time” is 25%.
This market is set up around the April 19th Kelp DAO bridge attack incident. The attacker exploited a cross-chain message vulnerability in LayerZero to drain about $292 million worth of rsETH from the bridge, causing the collateral backing of rsETH on the L2 network to be damaged.
According to Polymarket market rules, if Kelp DAO announces or implements a mechanism before April 30th that causes the mainnet rsETH holders to share part or all of the loss (rather than all being borne by L2 holders), the market will be judged as “Yes”; otherwise, it will be “No”.