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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 95%.
Golden Finance reports that on May 1st, according to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until June is 95%, and the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until July is 87.9%, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 11.7%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 0.4%.