$BTC Short-term Contract Strategy (Current Price 75,575)

1. Core Idea

Currently in a weak rebound phase after a decline, with moving averages in a bearish arrangement and MACD bearish momentum not fully released. Focus on range-bound oscillation and shorting on rebounds, avoid chasing longs.
2. Key Levels
Type Price Range Description
Strong Resistance 76,000-76,200 MA10 / Intraday neckline, likely to encounter resistance on rebound
Weak Resistance 75,800-75,900 Short-term minor rebound resistance level
Strong Support 75,200-75,300 Near intraday low, if broken look at 74,900
Strong Support 74,900 24-hour low, breaking below opens downward space

3. Trading Plan (Dual options)

Plan A: Short on rebound (main strategy)

Entry Conditions: Price rebounds to 75,800-76,000 range, 15-minute candle shows an upper shadow, volume diminishes

Stop Loss: 76,300 (above intraday high, avoid false breakouts)

Take Profit 1: 75,300 (first support, reduce position by 50%)

Take Profit 2: 74,900 (second support, exit all)

Plan B: Long on break (alternative, confirmation needed)

Entry Conditions: Price retraces to 75,200-75,300 range, 15-minute hammer candle, MACD bullish crossover

Stop Loss: 74,800 (below 24-hour low)

Take Profit 1: 75,800 (weak resistance, reduce position by 50%)

Take Profit 2: 76,200 (strong resistance, exit all)
4. Risk Control and Execution Rules

Single position size no more than 5% of total funds, leverage controlled within 20x

Strict stop loss, do not hold losing positions; after reaching take profit, move stop loss to protect gains

If price consolidates sideways between 75,300-75,800, do not trade, wait for a clear breakout signal $ETH $DOGE