Recently I keep seeing people staring at large on-chain transfers and hot and cold wallets on exchanges, shouting "Smart money is coming" whenever there's movement. I also get itchy and want to follow with a two-step... Basically, I'm afraid of missing out, feeling like if I don't join in, I'm like being locked outside.

But calmly, I prefer to first browse GitHub and audit reports. Not to pretend to be an expert, just looking at a few "dumb indicators": Is the code maintained and updated over the long term, or was there a sudden overhaul overnight; does the audit clearly state what was found, and was it ultimately fixed; and then there's multi-signature upgrades—who are the signers, how many keys are needed, and whether there are time locks or similar "give you reaction time" features. Anyway, I’d rather be slow and sure of what I believe in, rather than following wallet movements and interpreting them emotionally as information.