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Recently, I’ve been observing those “coincidental transfers” on the blockchain.
My first reaction was: it’s probably going to drop again (typical contrarian instinct...).
Later, I forced myself to stay calm and broke it down into paths: where the money comes from, how many transfers it goes through, and who finally receives it.
Many so-called coincidences are actually just the route used by task platforms to inflate scores, and with the anti-witching measures strict, everyone prefers to take detours, making transfers look more like mazes.
Airdrop season has made the grifters really competitive, just like going to work, I find it exhausting to watch.
Anyway, I now treat complexity as an enemy: only recognize the three stages of “source - transfer - destination,” and if I don’t understand, I don’t add to my position, I just run away.