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$ETH 📊 Market Report - Trading Recommendations
Trading Recommendations
Short-term traders (overlap period between Europe and America 20:00-00:00):
- Watch for BTC above 76,460; if volume decreases and it does not break down, consider light long positions (stop loss at 75,900)
- If BTC rebounds to the 76,800-77,000 range, consider shorting, stop loss at 77,300
- Focus on the US PCE data at 20:30; if the data exceeds expectations (inflation slows down), it may trigger a rebound
- ETH breaks below 2,266, follow with a short, target 2,250, stop loss 2,280
- Overall advice is to maintain extremely low positions (within 20%), cash is king, wait for clear direction
- Tonight, if BTC stays above 76,460 and ETF outflows are not continuous, consider adding positions in the early next day
Mid-term holders:
- If BTC holds above 76,000 tonight, suggest maintaining 20-30% positions, avoid blindly adding
- If BTC falls below 76,000, suggest reducing to below 10%, wait for a better entry point
- Continuous ETF outflows for 3 days require reassessment of mid-term logic
- If FNG drops further below 30, suggest fully reducing positions to below 10% to prevent panic selling
Risk control points:
- BTC first stop loss: 76,000 (if broken, reduce positions immediately)
- BTC second stop loss: 75,500 (deeper support, if broken, trend turns fully bearish)
- ETH breaking below 2,250, watch for acceleration towards 2,200
- SOL breaking below 83.0, monitor if 82.0 can hold
- Total position should be controlled at 20-30%, leverage within 1.5x
- Before and after major data (PCE) tonight, avoid heavy trading within 30 minutes to prevent double-sided losses
- If the US stock market opens significantly lower (-1% or more), the crypto market is likely to follow, prepare defenses in advance