Prediction markets and futures are now showing 100% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50% – 3.75% at tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.


• No rate cut expected
• No rate hike expected
The market has fully priced in a “wait-and-see” approach from the Fed.
FOMC decision tomorrow — will Powell give any hints on future moves?
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QueuePosition
· 04-30 15:23
If the market prediction is already 100%, is it still called a prediction? This is called an announcement.
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RugPullEnjoyer
· 04-28 15:50
Fed is now in idle mode, waiting for data to speak, and no one can predict it.
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GateUser-ecded933
· 04-28 15:35
3.5-3.75% rate for so long, the expectation of interest rate cuts has been pushed further back, and risk assets are struggling.
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StardustUnderTheGlassDome
· 04-28 14:20
The wait-and-see group has achieved a great victory, but the market has already priced it in; no volatility is the most boring.
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NDUESO1
· 04-28 12:54
To The Moon 🌕
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NDUESO1
· 04-28 12:53
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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CheckingEthInTheElevator
· 04-28 11:27
The concern is about the pixel art and wording; keeping the interest rate unchanged is a foregone conclusion.
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CandleAfterTheRain
· 04-28 11:25
“wait-and-see” translated into Chinese: I’m also a hen.
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FomoLibrarian
· 04-28 11:23
Tomorrow's press conference is more important than the decision itself, whether Powell adopts an hawkish or dovish stance.
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YieldBento
· 04-28 11:19
This 100% probability actually makes people nervous; what if there's a black swan?
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