📊Wolf Analysis | 2026.04.24

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Market Description

24h Price Change

BTC $78,156 (+0.20%)🟢

ETH $2,325.73 (-1.41%)🔴

SOL $85.93 (-0.15%)🟡

BNB $638.48 (+0.07%)🟡

BTC remains sideways at high levels, ETH leads the decline, the market hesitates before the $78,000 level.

1h Trend: BTC from $78,257 → $78,490 → $78,156, high-level surge and pullback, trading volume shrank to about 500 BTC; ETH $2,330 → $2,337 → $2,326, relatively weak; SOL $86.12 → $86.36 → $86.18, sideways with slight weakness; BNB $637 → $638, narrow fluctuations.

15m Trend: BTC trades within a very narrow range at $78,156, the $78,182-$77,984 zone is extremely compressed, latest volume 1 BTC; ETH $2,325 → $2,326 → $2,323 → $2,323 → $2,325; SOL $85.93 → $85.97 → $85.83 → $85.86 → $85.90; BNB $638.48 → $638.55 → $637.80 → $637.86 → $638.48. The Asian session volatility has fully contracted, a typical pre-breakout sign.

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Market Drivers

① The Strait of Hormuz remains under blockade, oil prices resume upward trend

CNBC/Reuters: The Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, oil prices restart rally, the market remains highly alert. AUD/NZD faces downward pressure this week. The Trump administration will hold a press conference on Iran war news this week, hosted by Hegseth and Caine tomorrow morning (April 25), possibly revealing more policy directions.

② Rubio hints Iran may still participate in the World Cup, a signal of diplomatic downgrade?

WSJ/DJ: The Trump administration unusually states that Iran can still participate in this summer’s World Cup. This move is interpreted by the market as a diplomatic downgrade signal—conflict persists but negotiations may still be possible. Geopolitical risk margins have eased somewhat.

③ KelpDAO funds stolen have all been transferred to BTC, Balancer attacker resumes money laundering after 5 months

PeckShield: The stolen funds from KelpDAO have been moved from Ethereum to BTC, mixed via THORChain, totaling about $15M in BTC; Balancer attacker breaks 5 months of silence, bridges $700k ETH into BTC via THORChain. On-chain money laundering activities intensify.

④ India may transfer control of Chabahar Port to Iran

FirstSquawk: India may hand over management of Chabahar Port to Iranian entities. The Hormuz blockade has already had a substantial impact on global supply chains.

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⚠Risk Reminder

• BTC $79,000 is a key psychological level, $80,500 is a short-term strong resistance, $77,500 is support

• ETH $2,280 is the last line of defense for bulls, $2,450 is short-term resistance

• Tomorrow’s Hegseth/Caine Iran war press conference may trigger significant market volatility

• AUD/NZD has depreciated this week along with rising oil prices, emerging market risk appetite is under pressure

• KelpDAO/Balancer laundering activities are heating up, on-chain monitoring needs strengthening

• 15m volume of 1 BTC indicates extreme compression, directional breakout may occur in the US session

• Position management is prioritized; avoid chasing highs or selling at lows at the end of sideways consolidation

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