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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战
This set of tactics in the United States has been played for 55 years—are there still people who haven’t seen through it? When the Middle East falls into chaos, the whole world has to foot the bill.
Think it through and you’ll realize: once the dollar encounters a crisis, war in the Middle East is inevitable.
In 1971, the dollar was unpegged from gold, and confidence collapsed. Two years later, the Middle East war broke out, and oil prices surged 4 times in just three months. The U.S. took the opportunity to bind itself to Saudi Arabia—oil transactions were settled only in dollars, and in the process it reaped the benefits from around the world.
In 1979, the dollar came under renewed pressure, and the Iran-Iraq War immediately began, sending oil prices soaring all the way.
In 2000, the internet bubble burst and the dollar fell sharply; then the Afghanistan and Iraq wars kicked off, pushing oil prices to historic highs.
The script has never changed: when dollar hegemony is challenged → Middle East conflicts escalate → oil prices surge → the world scrambles for dollars → the U.S. completes its harvest, resolving the crisis.
Now, with gold prices hitting new highs and the Federal Reserve about to cut interest rates, capital is restless—how could the situation in the Middle East possibly calm down easily?
Only when oil prices stay high for a long time can the U.S. shift the crisis, shore up the dollar, and support U.S. Treasurys.
This is not a coincidence. It’s the fixed playbook used for 55 years. Those who truly understand have long since started positioning themselves.