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$BTC The current market shows typical signs of a lack of upward momentum: although prices attempt to rise, the candlestick bodies continue to narrow, and long upper shadows appear frequently, indicating that each rebound is quickly suppressed by selling pressure at higher levels. The bullish momentum has clearly weakened. From a larger structural perspective, the bearish pattern remains stable, and the current movement is more of a consolidation within a downtrend rather than a trend reversal. Therefore, any rebounds should be viewed as opportunities to short in line with the trend.
In the short term, the 68,000 level has formed a clear resistance, with multiple tests failing to establish a firm breakout, creating a strong resistance zone. Support below should focus on the 66,800–66,500 area; if this zone is effectively broken downward, the downside potential will further increase. Ethereum's movement is synchronized, also showing signs of weak rebounds and weak oscillations, so it is not advisable to chase long positions.
Strategy-wise, maintain a primarily short position with some long positions as a supplement. Around the 68,000 level or in weak rebound zones, consider gradually shorting in batches; long positions should be limited to light, short-term trades at key support levels, with strict stop-loss settings. Overall, exercise caution in position management and avoid heavy contrarian bets on rebounds. #BTC能否守住6.5万美元?