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📊 BTC/ETH Phased Review: Washout Nearing Conclusion, Focus on Key Level Battles
1. Market Review: Bull Trap or Real Decline?
This week's market has been oscillating repeatedly around the 1-day EMA7, with intense long-short battles. We maintained good discipline, avoiding blind short-selling at BTC 70000 / ETH 2052. Short positions took profit and exited in the 69700-69400 range. The current oscillating trend aligns with our expectations for "whale washout."
2. Trend Evolution: Bullish Bias Favored, Support Levels Clear
As the monthly consecutive down pattern improves, the market environment in March-April may shift from weak to strong. Although BTC faces some selling pressure around 74000, if it can stabilize effectively, upside space could open toward the 78000 - 83000 zone. Currently maintaining a mid-line judgment of oscillating uptrend, but not ruling out severe short-term washouts.
3. Trading Strategy: Control Position Size, Capture Rhythm
Strategy: Capturing rebound profits requires patience. Recommended to reduce leverage multiples, increase liquidation distance, and give the market room to fluctuate.
Actions: Watch for weekend volume contraction retest opportunities. If the lower support holds, consider layering in base positions to await directional confirmation next week.
Spot: Recommended to maintain confidence and take profits in phases.
📍 Support Reference:
BTC: 65000-64000 | ETH: 1980-2010
💡 Summary: Follow the trend, stay calm and patient, await the market's final confirmation signal