An AI trading system made a $200 live trade on the prediction market platform Kalshi for 26 days, ending at $360.67—a return of 80.33%.
Its reported win rate was only 50.9%, almost a half-and-half split between correct and incorrect calls.
First, it estimates how much a contract is worth, then checks how much the market is selling it for. It only places orders when the gap between the two sides is large enough; the bigger the gap, the more it buys.
Once, the market was betting on whether the U.S. president would issue an executive order within one week. The YES sell price was 66 cents, but the

🌕Today marks the 15th day of the sixth month in the Lunar calendar, when the full moon is expected—also known by people as the Half-Year Festival.
Time has reached its midpoint, carrying the past into the future. The gains and losses of the first half are now behind us, and the journey of the second half officially begins.
On the day of the full moon, it’s fitting to stay calm and reflect inward, to rein in impulsiveness and settle down. Trading is the same: knowing how to accumulate, knowing how to show respect, and to guard against arrogance and impatience.
Looking back at every rise and fa

7.28 Morning Market Analysis
After BTC pulled back, the sell-side momentum from shorts continued to weaken, and the 63,000 support level remains solid. Overall, bullish momentum has not been completely exhausted. At present, the pullback is simply digesting prior profit-taking positions, as it gathers strength to prepare for a new round of rally.
The market has shifted from high-level consolidation to short-term pressure, which is a benign shakeout and position rotation that helps reinforce the bottom. On the daily timeframe, the price surged, then stalled and fell back; trading volume also co

BREAKING: BlackRock issued $12.55B in investment-grade bonds for Meta’s data centers, yield 7.534% and heavy initial demand but subsector yields still well above Treasuries. $META

7.28 Morning Gold Silk Road Analysis
The one-hour bearish trend is clear. Each time the price touches the upper Bollinger Band, it faces pressure and falls back. Consecutive bearish candles break below the Bollinger middle band and short-term support, and the bearish indicators continue to expand in volume.
The rebound strength is weak, and there is insufficient long-side follow-through.
If the rebound reaches the 4080-4090 range, you can place short positions. The targets are 4030-4010.
Reminder:
The above analysis is my personal view from Muyao. The market changes rapidly; the content is for

Good morning, Air Force, Makabara 🥳

Yesterday, the short I entered at 1962 has already been dealt with. I opened a short at 1962, then made a quick T trade between 1930 and 1940, and kept shorting all the way until now. The downtrend is already in place. Today it broke below 1850, so we can look toward 1800.

They sleep while you build

【$BTC Signal】1H RSI extremely oversold + downtrend continues
$BTC RSI 1H dropped to 24.87, and the buy-side depth share is only 73%; Bid/Ask ratio is 6.49—sell orders are overwhelming. The 4H MACD green histogram keeps expanding; after the lower Bollinger band is broken, the rebound lacks strength. Price is oscillating around 63230, with the funding rate at -0.01% slightly negative, but OI remains stable—shorts have not exited at scale.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry / orders: 63055.647 - 63230.800
🛑 Stop loss: 63863.108
🚀 Target 1: 62282.338
🚀 Target 2: 61808.107
🛡️ Trade mana

JUST IN: China’s progress in DUV lithography cited as no surprise by Citrini’s Jukan, arguing recent ASML sell-off is an overreaction on expectations already priced in. $ASML

JUST IN: SKHX flash crash triggers forced liquidations of over $26M after a backup liquidator breach; price dive from ~1128 to ~927 in under a minute before partial rebound. Oracle spillover in thin pre-market liquidity appears central. $SKHX

ETH operational walkthrough for today, Tuesday 0728 (hourly chart)

$ON Signal | Pullback-to-buy setup · Clear support at the 4H mid-band
$ON 1H MACD bearish crossover widens; buying orders enter near the 4H Bollinger mid-band around 0.1789. RSI (1H) is 61.36, not overheated. Funding rate is 0.0573%, keeping long costs under control. Order book depth ratio is 1.32, with dense support orders below.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit orders: 0.18004 - 0.18058
🛑Stop loss: 0.17877
🚀Target 1: 0.18329
🚀Target 2: 0.18464
🛡️Trade management: - Execute the strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce position size by 50% and move the stop loss up to breakeven. If price dr

7.28 BTC analysis
Analysis: Around 630, go long lightly; target 640.
Short-sell on any rebound in the 640–645 area; defend at 650; if it moves from 630 to 620, be careful.
Looking at BTC on the 1-hour chart: after yesterday surged to 65780, it quickly pulled back, with the lowest wick around 63021. The current price is consolidating and trading in the 63200 area. In the short term, the price has broken below the moving-average support, and bearish power is being concentrated and released. However, around 63000, buy support is relatively strong; this level is the key defensive zone for bulls

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bitcoin:native In the short term, it has already reached 63. Here, even the longs have also been wiped out.
For the short term, you can consider taking profit.
Next, let’s see whether it can drop below 624. If it breaks below 624, the next target is 613—just to run.

Secure some @TheGodPull and will buy more if the papers keep showing

7.28 BTC strategy and operation suggestions
The current price of ETH is around 1,885. The market structure is still dominated by the bears, with BTC weakening in tandem. After the earlier upside was met with resistance, price continued to fall, and after a short-term drop it entered a low-range consolidation and repair phase. The rebound momentum is limited—it's only a short-term pause following the decline. The short-term trend remains under pressure, so it’s not advisable to blindly bottom-pick. First, set up shorts based on the overhead resistance, while closely watching the support level