Just now! The Federal Reserve's "death sentence" has triggered a market explosion, and the 90-day liquidity drought period has officially begun!

Stop dreaming! Those still hoping for a rate cut in March, it's time to wake up.
CME's latest quarterly interest rate decision forecast data has put an end to the market’s easing expectations — in the next 90 days, the liquidity valve will be tightly shut, and an unprecedented "oxygen deprivation test" has begun.

Three key time points to understand this liquidity crisis:
March (Deadlock): Only a 7.8% chance of a rate cut!
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates is as high as 92.2%. This means that next month, not only will there be no "easing," but high interest rates will continue to drain liquidity. Those betting on a pivot in March can exit early.
April (Postponement): 73.1% chance of no rate cut
Many are expecting a "halving rally + rate cut" double benefit, but the data tells you: April still has no water. A 73.1% chance of no rate cut is enough to shatter all illusions.
June (Turning Point): The chance of a rate cut exceeds 50% for the first time, reaching 52.6%
This is the only hope window in the first half of 2024. But the question is: can you hold on until that day?
Harsh truth:

The current market is not the start of a bull run, but the darkest moment before dawn. Those high-leverage longs relying on "imminent rate cuts" to survive will inevitably fall along the way before taking their first sip of water in June.

Face reality: until mid-year, the liquidity valve will remain tightly closed. Are you ready for this 90-day "oxygen deprivation test"?

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