BTC Depth Review: This is not a correction, but a "breather" in the downtrend. The target zone is 75-77K.

Is it still possible to buy near 80,000? Is a rebound coming?

Hai Ge’s view: 👉 This is not an opportunity zone, but a rebound area within a bearish structure.

1. One-sentence summary of the trend (for those without patience)

The major downward trend has not ended; the current rebound is only a “central oscillation within a downtrend,” not a reversal.

2. Chen Theory perspective: the structure is already very clear

Getting straight to the point, no emotional talk.

1️⃣ Large scale: the trend is downward, starting from 98k is a daily-level decline, with internal structure showing a third wave of yellow lines - 4h decline, the 4h internal structure is incomplete, currently just the first central.

2️⃣ Current structure: a central within the 4h downtrend

The 81K–84K oscillation you see:

• Is not a bottoming process
• But a central consolidation within a downtrend

The location of the central determines whether it is:

• A pullback in an uptrend? ❌
• A relay in a downtrend? ✅

It’s now very clear, the latter.

3️⃣ MACD: is there divergence?

Many people like to ask about MACD:

“Is a divergence about to cause a rebound?”

Pay attention to a few details:

• Current MACD is still below the zero line
• The red and green bars are enlarging, bearish momentum has not exhausted
• Even if short-term divergence appears, it only supports a rebound, not a reversal

So: 👉 At most a rebound, not a reversal

3. Key price levels: the “work zone” for bears

Based on structure and volume, focus on 👇

🎯 Resistance zone (shorting observation area)

• 83,500 – 84,500

This is:

• The upper edge of the downtrend central
• Also the area where emotional bulls are most likely to “think the bottom is in”

🎯 Target zone below (trend direction)

If the structure continues, the lower levels are not complicated:

• 80K: emotional support level
• 77K – 75K: trend target zone

This is not guesswork; it’s a natural deduction based on Chen Theory structure.

4. Trading approach (only what can be executed)

❌ Don’t chase the rally ❌ Don’t buy the bottom ❌ Don’t guess the bottom

Focus on one thing:

✅ Wait for structure confirmation during rebounds, and short in the trend

Trend trading is never about “getting it right once,” but about repeatedly acting in the correct direction.

5. Trading insights

The market won’t bottom because you panic, nor will it reverse because you are bullish.

If the structure isn’t complete, all “good news” is just noise.

6. Hai Ge specializes in shorting, and I expect to profit from shorting in 2026