2026-01-08 10:29:23

The overall market is currently being suppressed by weekly adjustments, and the recent weak rebound on the daily chart has already ended, entering the four-hour downtrend phase. The short-term bearish signals are very clear. The key support zone below is 89200-90200, which is the last line of defense.

The trading strategy is simple and straightforward—prioritize defense, wait for a rebound before considering shorting, and never try to catch the bottom, as that is a suicidal move.

**Main Strategy (Primarily Short Positions)**

First entry opportunity (trend-following short): When the price rebounds to the 91200-91800 resistance zone on the 1-hour MA30-60, if a stagnation candlestick pattern appears (long upper shadow or bearish engulfing), that’s the signal.

Second entry opportunity (breakout short): Wait for the price to break below the 90000 level, then confirm with a slight rebound.

Position management: Use small positions, 3-5% of your capital is sufficient.

Place stop-loss above 92300 to leave room for false breakouts, avoiding being stopped out prematurely.

Expected target zone is 89300-88500.

**Secondary Strategy (Rebound Short-term Trading — High Risk)**

This is only suitable for short-term traders; entries and exits must be quick, hesitation will lead to being trapped.

Trigger conditions are very strict: the price must quickly fall into the strong support zone of 89000-89500, with a clear "bullish divergence" on the 15-minute chart combined with a "volume spike and pin bar."

Use very small positions, 1-2%, just enough to withstand potential losses.

Set stop-loss below 88800; if broken, exit immediately.

The rebound target is 90500-91000 resistance. When reached, close all positions and exit.

Risk warning: The above is only technical analysis based on charts and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, with extreme risks. Make independent judgments and decisions.

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TradingNightmare

· 3h ago

89,200 really can't hold, it broke early on Those buying the dip are all brave souls, no problem Is the steady guy who only risks 3-5% again? Who isn't bleeding a bit after this move... The resistance at 91,800 is too weak, can't push back up at all Bottom divergence with volume spike? Sounds pretty intimidating Is stopping loss at 92,300 too loose? Clear out on rebound, might as well short all the way down

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notSatoshi1971

· 17h ago

It's the same defensive theory again. I think this time they really took 89200 as a solid barrier. Hold on, is it really so deadly to bottom fish now? Tell me why. The weekly resistance is so strong; should we short when it rebounds to 91800? Feels not that absolute. I agree with a 3% small position, but setting a stop loss at 92300 seems too loose. Bottom divergence combined with a pin line... how likely is this combination to occur? The 90000 integer level is indeed easy to repeatedly confirm; we need to defend it well. Not everyone is a short-term expert; a 1% position size is a bit more realistic. Could the target range of 89300-88500 be too optimistic? High-risk strategies, I advise everyone to go in with a better position. This defensive approach is fine, but I’m worried the expected target might not be reached.

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CommunityJanitor

· 01-08 10:56

Hmm, it's the same old story, sticking to this line, and shorting on rebounds. If you ask me, it's just waiting for big funds to move. The market has been suppressed by the weekly chart, it's obvious. Now it's just a matter of who breaks the 90,000 threshold first. Playing with a small position now is the right approach. Don't think about going all-in at once. Experts use the bearish divergence strategy, but I think I'll pass. Even if I can afford to lose, I don't have that skill. Once the 90,000 level is broken, the target directly points to 88,500, and that will be stable. This support level is indeed strong, but I feel I need to watch a few more K-lines before deciding to enter. Bottom fishing is basically asking for death, no doubt about it. Wait for a rebound signal before jumping in. For now, let's stay on the sidelines. Position management is explained very clearly, but unfortunately, most people simply can't do it.

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ILCollector

· 01-08 10:42

89200-90200 Can it really hold? Feels risky. If it breaks this line, it's really over. Bottom fishing is just asking for death; those with a bit of sense can see through it. Again with light positions, just 1-2%; making money this way is too slow. A real opportunity is when the rebound from 91200-91800 crashes down. Can 88500 hold? Why does it feel all bearish? Even short-term experts have to kneel; I want to see who can escape the top. Bottom divergence combined with pin bar signals—how many times have these appeared? Let's wait and see; don't rush into the market, observe a bit more. Breaking 92300 will lead to a direct liquidation; stop-loss won't save you at that point.

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WalletWhisperer

· 01-08 10:37

ngl the whale clustering around 89200 is telling a different story than what these charts suggest... been watching the transaction velocity on accumulation addresses and something's off about this bearish setup

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Liquidated_Larry

· 01-08 10:33

Bottom-fishing is a terminal illness, and this guy's got it right It's the same old story: rebound and then sell off, sell off and then keep falling, cycle Small positions are the art of survival; heavy positions are courting death Once 89200 breaks, it's really time to run; the last line of defense is right This short-term battle isn't suitable for me; I'll wait for a confirmed signal before jumping in

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