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The bullish and bearish forces in BTC have experienced a dramatic reversal. Remember the exaggerated situation a few days ago when the long-to-short ratio reached 400%? It has now dropped to 29.48%—what does this change indicate? Simply put, large investors have already completed their repositioning at high levels and are now collectively shorting.
The numbers are even more straightforward. The original 189 bullish whales are now "passive holders," with an average entry price of 92,066 USDT, holding positions worth 1.2 billion USDT, all in the red. The accumulated loss has reached 26.11 million USDT. On the other hand, the 330 bearish whales entered at an average cost of 97,411 USDT, currently with unrealized profits of up to 330 million USDT. That’s the gap.
Currently, BTC is quoted at 90,107, breaking through the critical bullish support level of 92,000, and the daily chart is testing whether the 90,000 mark can hold. In other words, the bulls are experiencing a "stampede"—once someone starts stop-lossing, it can trigger a chain reaction. Meanwhile, the bearish whales, having entered at a very favorable point (97,411 USDT), hold absolute pricing power.
What’s next? As long as the price cannot rebound above 92,066 (the bullish entry point), any upward movement will be seen by the bullish whales as a last chance to cut losses and escape, leading to secondary sell-offs. The 1.2 billion USDT trapped in positions will take time to digest, and this process won’t be smooth.
What to watch? How strong is the support in the 89,500–90,000 range? Before the unrealized losses among bulls turn into large-scale liquidations, it’s too early to shout "bottom."