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The market's second probe has been completed, and the 4-hour level has already been pierced. If there can be another probe, it would be even better. The market's health has not yet been compromised. Just as I mentioned yesterday, when the bulls and bears are in a stalemate, a breakout in one direction will be chosen, followed by a reversal. I mentioned yesterday that the current market is in a state of high-level consolidation. Before breaking through 100,000, it will continue to fluctuate, so hold onto your chips. Prepare a comprehensive position management plan. At the same time, coordinate well with stop-loss adjustments and profit locking strategies. There is nothing to fear. Attack when you can, defend when you must. Playing well during this period will ensure a steady and prosperous year.
Currently leaning more towards: weak consolidation, but not a direct one-way decline. In other words:
❌ Not suitable for chasing rallies
❌ Not suitable for heavy positions betting on direction
✅ Suitable for: waiting at key levels → reacting, rather than predicting.
The market is now in the late stage of consolidation, not in the middle, and both bulls and bears are starting to get impatient. In the next few days, a clear direction will definitely be given. Currently, market sentiment shows a very close bull-bear ratio. Although bears are slightly ahead, the advantage is not very obvious, and a reversal could happen at any time. This indicates that the market has not formed a consensus expectation. A major fluctuation could be used at any moment to forcibly unify expectations. What we need to do is not to preemptively position, but to be prepared with response plans.
❗In the next few days, avoid these 3 operations
❌Opening orders in the middle of the consolidation range
❌Chasing the first volume-increasing K-line
❌Using high leverage to bet on "this time definitely breaking through"
Instead, you should wait for false breakouts or failed false breakdowns, then take contrarian short-term positions. Therefore, I will try to place edge orders, set limit prices in advance, and act when triggered. If not triggered, better to miss the opportunity than chase blindly.