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In the current BTC staking ecosystem, there is a rarely noticed supply dilemma. The Babylon protocol requires approximately 116 million baby tokens to support the existing 57,759 BTC staking positions (calculated at 20,000 baby/BTC), but the market circulation is only 690 million tokens, which means there is a shortfall of up to 470 million tokens.
This gap is being amplified by new ecosystem expansion. It is expected that in Q1 2026, the integration of leading exchanges and the testing and launch of mainstream lending protocols will attract more BTC into staking—yet the token supply supporting these inflows has not kept pace. Each subsequent wave of BTC entry will intensify this mismatch, becoming a key variable in whether the project can truly unlock liquidity.