#Strategy加码BTC配置 $PEPE $FIL $DOT 2026 Big Test: Who Are the Winners and Who Are Out

The Federal Funds Rate Dot Plot is here, marking the first real showdown of the year.

At the start of the new year, the Fed threw a cold water: interest rates remain at 3.50%-3.75%, only a 25 basis point cut last year. Don’t expect a massive liquidity injection— the economy is strong enough, and the central bank has no reason to be soft.

📊 December Dot Plot Core Data:

Only a 25 basis point cut expected in 2026
Inflation stickiness at 2.4%, GDP growth at 2.3%
Even the most dovish officials are feeling the pressure

🔥 How does Wall Street bet? Opinions vary:

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley see a 25 basis point cut in March and June respectively
JPMorgan expects only one cut
Extremes are out of control: some say zero cuts, others dream of 150 basis points

⚠️ A variable: Powell’s term ends in May. If the new chair adopts a more dovish stance, the entire monetary policy script could be rewritten.

The January FOMC meeting has become a barometer of liquidity for all markets. Stocks, cryptocurrencies, bonds—all are waiting for this moment. Sticky inflation combined with a resilient economy means the Fed won’t act rashly. Unless employment data crashes or prices plummet, slow rate cuts will be the tone.

💡 The realistic advice is straightforward: don’t rush to get in.

Wait for the official release of the dot plot, then observe the market’s first reaction before taking action. In a year of liquidity transition, big opportunities are hidden in market disagreements.

Recent gains worth noting:

PEPE: 0.00000512 +25.18%
FIL: 1.46 +13.17%
DOT: 1.995 +11.82%

The market is telling its own story; you need to learn to understand the logic behind the行情.