#预测市场 Kalshi's prediction market is amazing 😱 Gemini's win rate has skyrocketed from 30% at the beginning of the year to 86%. What does this data indicate? It shows that Google has fully suppressed ChatGPT! At the start of the year, ChatGPT had a 41% chance, now it has dropped to 8%, and this contrast is quite striking 🔥

$14.08 million in trading volume—that's real money voting. The data from the LM Arena leaderboard doesn't lie; Gemini's performance is indeed crushing other AIs. Grok may be popular, but a 6% probability is enough to show how the market views it.

However, the logic behind this prediction market is also very interesting, as it reflects real-time changes in market perception of AI capabilities. It seems there will be new variables emerging later on, after all, there's still time until the end of 2025. Maybe a dark horse will suddenly make a move 💪 It's worth continuing to observe the market trends.