Early morning watching the Federal Reserve meeting live, after listening to the entire speech, I realized that many people's expectations for a rate cut in January might be disappointed.

The key is not whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates, but how they say it. To judge their true intention, you need to look at whether their language is dovish enough. If they truly plan to cut in January, their stance would be very mild, even directly signaling a rate cut. But in this meeting, the Fed repeatedly emphasized "the pace will not accelerate" and "depends on subsequent economic data," clearly cooling the market — so January is unlikely.

My judgment is that the real discussion about rate cuts is more likely to start after March. By then, the missing economic data will gradually be filled in, allowing the Fed to make decisions based on complete information. This time lag is crucial for the crypto market.

In the short term, the failure of the January rate cut expectation means that funds that entered earlier will start to take profits, leading to market volatility. But don’t be scared by short-term fluctuations — the long-term logic remains unchanged. In fact, this adjustment provides better opportunities for those who enter later.

The real profit window is right here: from now until March, it’s a phase for re-pricing crypto assets. To seize the opportunity, you need to find the right entry points within this cycle, rather than obsessing over daily ups and downs. The Fed’s "hidden message" is already very clear; the key is whether you can react in advance.