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The U.S. political scene has just staged a major spectacle—Trump has threatened to sue Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The superficial excuse is the $600 million building renovation fund, but perceptive observers can see that this is actually a direct confrontation over power and independence.
This move conceals three layers of strategic implications:
**First Layer: Legal Pressure**. Using legal means to give the central bank a heavy blow, aiming to alter decision-making pace.
**Second Layer: Personnel Planning**. Targeting the May 2026 expiration of Powell’s term, preparing for a personnel change.
**Third Layer: Interest Rate Control**. Once successful, the scope and frequency of rate cuts could be hijacked by short-term political demands, pushing inflation pressures further down the line.
This situation is like standing at a crossroads for global markets:
On one side, if the Federal Reserve compromises—making rate cuts a political tool—inflation risks could re-emerge, the dollar’s credibility could be shaken, and the global capital markets could face an epic reshuffle.
On the other side, if the central bank insists on standing firm—endless tug-of-war between the White House and the Fed—the policy expectations will become increasingly blurred, and stock, bond, and currency markets will be rollercoastering every day.
The reality is: once trust within the system cracks, institutions and individuals will instinctively seek alternative assets. Assets like gold and Bitcoin, which are not controlled by any single government, may be standing at the threshold of a historic opportunity.
Do you think the Fed’s independence can hold its ground this time? In such an environment, how should your asset allocation strategy be adjusted? Leave a comment and share your thoughts.