2026-01-01 20:23:38

Bitcoin's trajectory through 2026 is shaping up to be critical. The key question isn't just where the price peaks—it's whether we see a consolidation around $90k-$120k range before the real surge, or if momentum carries straight through to fresh all-time highs.

Historically, post-halving cycles suggest we could hit anywhere from $150k to north of $200k depending on macro conditions and institutional adoption curves. But here's the wild card: if we factor in geopolitical shifts and central bank policies, the volatility might dwarf those numbers entirely.

The real tell will be Q2-Q3 2026. That's when we'll know if this cycle mirrors 2017's trajectory or breaks the pattern completely.

BTC0.8%

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BlockchainWorker

· 6h ago

If you can't hold the 90 to 120k range, just push directly to 200k, the macro environment also supports it.

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NonFungibleDegen

· 6h ago

ngl q2-q3 2026 is gonna be absolutely unhinged... either we're printing or we're cope posting till 2027

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ETHReserveBank

· 6h ago

Will the oscillation range of 90k to 120k really hold? I'm a bit skeptical. --- Geopolitical disruptions are indeed black swans; when central banks cause trouble, prices can skyrocket or plummet instantly. --- The real test will be in Q2-Q3 of 2026. Do we bet on breaking the 2017 pattern this time? --- 150k to 200k? I find it doubtful. It depends on the macro environment aligning; right now, who knows? --- Honestly, I'm just waiting and watching. I'm holding and not moving. --- The real test is coming. Let's wait and see how the market performs in the second half of the year.

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Fren_Not_Food

· 6h ago

Hey, Q2-Q3 is the real test, all those previous predictions were too optimistic...

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